I haven't been able to get my focus so far, stumbling to a 16-16 mark straight up and terrible 11-20-1 against the spread with some mind numbing misses. I did recover with an 11-5 against the over/under last week to stand at 17-14-1 so at least I still have that going for me. Atlanta (1-1) @ Buffalo (1-1): ATL +2.5/under 36.5

Vick has already shown the ability to get wins in hostile territory, but hasn't shaken the injury bug. Losman looked terrible in Tampa Bay and might have a short leash with Holcomb on the sideline. Both teams can run and play defense making this a low scoring affair: Buffalo 15, Atlanta 13

Cincinnati (2-0) @ Chicago (1-1): CIN -3/under 39

Important professional football in the midwest? Get out of town! On a much lesser level this is like Baltimore vs. Indianapolis because the Bears thrive on defense while the Bengals do their best work on offense. Which side wins? Good question. I can't stay away from the visitors who I said would start hot: Cincinnati 20, Chicago 16

Jacksonville (1-1) @ NY Jets (1-1): NYJ -2.5/over 34

It's the Marshall quarterbacks doing battle in this one, and now both have a running back who could go out at any time. I like New York's backup plan better and Jacksonville's defense slightly more at the moment, but Leftwich is erratic right now which is the difference: NY Jets 20, Jacksonville 15

Oakland (2-0) @ Philadelphia (1-1): PHI -8/under 46.5

Jim Plunkett is a Raiders announcer and Jaworski is an ESPN analyst these days, 25 years following their Super Bowl meeting. Collins vs. McNabb likely won't be remembered. The Eagles play sound football and the once deafening distractions are fading into oblivion: Philadelphia 28, Oakland 13

Tennessee (1-1) @ St. Louis (1-1): STL -6.5/over 47

The second Super Bowl replay of the week and don't think Steve McNair wouldn't get a rise out of beating the team that stopped him 36 inches from possibly winning a ring in overtime. The Rams are too fast for this defense and the Titans don't have the weapons to keep up: St. Louis 33, Tennessee 14

Carolina (1-1) @ Miami (1-1): CAR -3/under 36.5

The Panthers just stepped on the two time champs and the Dolphins are a week removed from a thumping of last year's AFC wild card team so both have shown flashes already. Strong September play from Miami aside, I think Carolina has just as much defense, a better quarterback and better running backs: Carolina 16, Miami 10

Cleveland (1-1) @ Indianapolis (2-0): IND -13/under 47

Trent Dilfer hopes to continue his comeback tour with another big road win over a future Hall of Fame quarterback, but Peyton Manning (unlike Favre last week) has all his weapons intact. Romeo Crennel might have schemed the Pats to victory over the Colts in the AFC playoffs, but he is missing a little thing I like to call personnel this time around: Indianapolis 35, Cleveland 10

New Orleans (1-1) @ Minnesota (0-2): pick MIN -4/over 44

Both teams are miffed right now. The Saints think it was a sham they had to play at the Meadowlands and are coming off a short week in complete distraction mode. The Vikings are dumbfounded by their offense falling completely apart without Moss. I like the Saints to have a better rushing attack, but I get the weird feeling Culpepper starts throwing darts all around the field and scrambling for big yards in this one: Minnesota 30, New Orleans 24

Tampa Bay (2-0) @ Green Bay (0-2): GB +3/under 38

I felt like the Packers were going to fall off this season, but I didn't think it would be this bad. They are really struggling on offense and losing Walker and now possibly Franks sure doesn't help. That's why those guys wanted their money. I'm a believer in Gruden's new offense now that he has players to execute, and I think I have to pick against the Packers until they show me something: Tampa Bay 19, Green Bay 17

Dallas (1-1) @ San Francisco (1-1): SF +6/over 40.5

A funny thing happened to the Cowboys en route to 2-0. His name is Santana Moss. The 49ers have no such threat at receiver and not much at running back either. Julius Jones and the experienced passing game should grind this one out: Dallas 21, San Francisco 20

Arizona (0-2) @ Seattle (1-1): pick SEA -6/over 41.5

The Cards are going to the playoffs right? Idiot "experts" always talk out of their rear ends. The Seahawks aren't a great team either, but on their home field they play pretty well most of the time while outside of the desert the Cards are mush: Seattle 28, Arizona 14

New England (1-1) @ Pittsburgh (2-0): NE +3/over 42

If the Steelers could somehow get this win it would all but assure that the AFC title game ran through Heinz Field or the RCA dome, it's that important. Willie Parker is a nice story, but this is the Patriots who know how to beat these guys. Big Ben will have to throw more and that's not going to be a good thing: New England 23, Pittsburgh 20

NY Giants (2-0) @ San Diego (0-2): SD -5.5/over 42.5

There is some history here with Eli Manning having rejected going to the Chargers in a season where they wound up going 12-4. Turns out he was probably right because things have reversed field for the Chargers at the moment. Eli might press as he tries to show he was worth it, while Tomlinson has come to the forefront and is ready to make plays: San Diego 26, NY Giants 19