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Wednesday, August 15 2018

NFL Predictions 2007: Week 2

SportIt might not be such a bad idea to check out dbsmall's picks. The first week is always hard to project and I took my lumps to be sure. Winners (8-8) Spread (6-8-2) and Over/Under (8-8) were equally mediocre.
Houston (1-0) @ Carolina (1-0): pick CAR -6.5/under 39
 
The biggest intrigue for this game is if Panther quarterback Jake Delhomme gets hurt. That would set up a Carr vs. Schaub throw down. Instead we probably get a boring game where Carolina just runs right at them behind their “De” backfield of DeShaun Foster and DeAngelo Williams who combined for 32 carries and 156 yards against St. Louis. The downside was that both lost a fumble and they face a defense that just bottled up a rusty Larry Johnson. Enough from their defense and running game to carry the home team: Carolina 20, Houston 10
 
Cincinnati (1-0) @ Cleveland (0-1): pick CIN -7/under 41.5
 
Does anyone care about this game, even in the state of Ohio? It is week 2 and already the Browns are in full panic mode. They made history by trading their season opening starter Charlie Frye after just one game and now seem poised to throw Brady Quinn into the fire. The Bengals are on a short week and are the visitors. After that nothing is going against them. I worry about their offense not being deep enough to keep up with the AFC elite, but not in this game: Cincinnati 30, Cleveland 6
 
Atlanta (0-1) @ Jacksonville (0-1): pick JAX -10/over 34.5
 
Any hope of the Falcons rallying in the absence of Vick has pretty much gone up in smoke. Meanwhile the Jaguars were again stung by a division opponent they were supposed to beat. After Tennessee ran them over I would expect pride to kick in as they face a team built on running the football. It will definitely be up to Harrington if Atlanta wants to stay in this game. I expect a full reversal of last week’s performance as the Jags flex a little muscle: Jacksonville 27, Atlanta 10
 
Green Bay (1-0) @ NY Giants (0-1): pick GB +2.5/over 38.5
 
New York looks to be without Eli Manning at quarterback for the first time since he was anointed the starter midway through his rookie season in 2004. It’s a good thing they have, uh, Jared Lorenzen at backup? He is pushing three bills so at least he will be hard to sack. Their running back situation is also unsettled after Jacobs left the Sunday night loss to Dallas. Derrick showed some flash on a 44 yard run, but had just 45 yards on his other 12 carries. The Packers are fresh off a big win over Philadelphia. They got their rookie running back Brandon Jackson (75 total yards) and wide receiver James Jones (4 receptions for 29 yards) into the mix and should gouge this defense: Green Bay 27, NY Giants 17
 
Buffalo (0-1) @ Pittsburgh (1-0): pick PIT -8.5/over 37.5
 
The Kevin Everett injury has to motivate the Bills. Unfortunately they do not match up well on the road against the Steelers. Marshawn Lynch had a nice rookie debut with 90 yards rushing and 2 receptions, but no one runs on this defense. Losman really doesn’t have the weapons to keep up with the new wide open offense run by Roethlisberger. I expect the Steelers to churn out another comfortable victory: Pittsburgh 26, Buffalo 12
 
San Francisco (1-0) @ St. Louis (0-1): pick STL -3/over 44
 
The 49ers had to scrap by the Cardinals on Monday night while the Rams were handled by the Panthers. Both teams feature a power running back, but that’s where the offensive similarities end. St. Louis runs multiple receiving threats at the opposition while San Francisco is fairly thin even with veteran Darrell Jackson in the fold. Defensively the edge goes to the visiting 49ers who upgraded big time since last year. The Rams are still soft. This rivalry is typically exciting and I expect nothing less here. I have to go with the team more capable of scoring in bunches: St. Louis 28, San Francisco 23
 
New Orleans (0-1) @ Tampa Bay (1-0): pick NO -3.5/under 41.5
 
The Saints have had a few extra days to figure out what went wrong in their NFL season opening 41-10 loss at Indianapolis. Fortunately for them they will not face a team that good again in the regular season. The Bucs return from a long field trip to Seattle and have the extra advantage of the Florida weather which is always an edge in September. I can’t imagine New Orleans being held down on offense again, and Tampa Bay clearly does not have the arsenal to hurt their defense the way Peyton’s club did last week. It will be an ugly game, I can tell you that much: New Orleans 19, Tampa Bay 13
 
Indianapolis (1-0) @ Tennessee (1-0): pick IND -7/under 45.5
 
The Titans stood toe to toe with the Colts last year, splitting the games and actually outscoring the eventual champs 33-31. They have to be feeling confident after running right over Jacksonville last week. Now the stakes are raised because Indy just held the high powered Saints to 3 points on offense. Young always has ugly stat lines, but he continues to win. However, whereas Garrard couldn’t attack Tennessee through the air when the run failed, that isn’t the case this week: Indianapolis 27, Tennessee 17
 
Seattle (1-0) @ Arizona (0-1): pick AZ +3/under 42.5
 
The Seahawks still have control of the NFC West, but by most accounts any of the three teams behind them could challenge their reign. Losing Hackett hurts their passing game because they were counting on him to pick up the slack left when Jackson was traded. Now it is up to veterans Engram and Pollard (tight end). The Cardinals also have issues in the air after their big threats Boldin and Fitzgerald combined for just 7 receptions (42 yards) last week. I think Leinart opens it up this week and I like the way Whisenhunt uses James in the running game. This is going to be a tough game and could go to either team: Arizona 21, Seattle 17
 
Minnesota (1-0) @ Detroit (1-0): pick DET -3/under 42.5
 
Since Chicago was the only NFC North team to lose on opening weekend the winner of this game will already have the Bears chasing them. The Vikings got off to a hot start with a strong defense (3 points allowed) and rookie rusher Adrian Peterson (163 total yards). The Lions made Oakland’s defense look bad and might have found a reasonable answer at running back themselves after Tatum Bell ran it 15 times for 87 yards. Meanwhile rookie receiver Calvin Johnson had 4 receptions (70 yards, TD) and Shaun McDonald caught 6 passes (90 yards, TD) as last year’s stars Williams and Furrey took a back seat. No one runs on Minnesota, so all the pressure is on Kitna. If he can put up some points the pressure shifts to Peterson and green quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. I think Jackson is too mistake prone: Detroit 24, Minnesota 14
 
Dallas (1-0) @ Miami (0-1): pick DAL -3.5/under 40.5
 
The Cowboys had everything easy in week 1 against a bad New York Giant defense and home field advantage. This week those situations are reversed in a big way. It will be a tight fisted game in Florida. The Dolphins weren’t terrible in their loss at Washington. Green spread the ball around nicely, but struggled to make the big play down the field. Half of his 24 completions went to running backs, as did 88 of his 219 yards. Young receivers Hagan and Ginn Jr. (rookie) need to step up if they want to hang with the ‘Boys. Dallas had 478 yards last week and won’t need that much here, but they hardly miss Glenn: Dallas 20, Miami 12
 
NY Jets (0-1) @ Baltimore (0-1): pick BAL -10/under 33
 
Both teams have issues at quarterback, but the Ravens have home field and a defense capable of ruining a player making his first career start. The Jets love the potential of Kellen Clemens, but he is not going to finish this game without his share of mistakes. Even if McNair can’t start for the Ravens they still have Boller who has over 1,000 more pass attempts in his NFL career. New York can’t ride Thomas Jones against this front line and hope to pull it out late: Baltimore 17, NY Jets 6
 
Kansas City (0-1) @ Chicago (1-0): pick CHI -12/over 34.5
 
If Larry Johnson thought it was tough sledding against Houston following his long holdout, wait until he gets to Soldier Field. Da Bears are steaming after they held Tomlinson mostly in check yet still lost 14-3 at San Diego. That was the best team in the AFC West, this is possibly the worst. Huard can’t get the ball down the field without quality receivers and might not finish this game. The “other” Adrian Peterson is giving Chicago the relief hard running they lost in trading away Thomas Jones: Chicago 31, Kansas City 7
 
Oakland (0-1) @ Denver (1-0): pick OAK +10/over 37.5
 
Last year the wild card chasing Broncos swept the cellar dwelling Raiders, but it wasn’t easy. They won 13-3 and 17-13, but those games were led by Jake Plummer. Now Jay Cutler gets his first taste of the bitter rivalry. Daunte Culpepper will as well assuming he does in fact make his first start for the Raiders. He has been mistake prone in the exhibition season and doesn’t seem totally in synch with the players around him just yet. After escaping in Buffalo last week the Broncos return home where they were just 4-4 last year, but historically dominate. I think Jordan’s running and receiving can keep the Raiders in this game, but won’t win it: Denver 24, Oakland 16
 
San Diego (1-0) @ New England (1-0): pick NE -3.5/over 46.5
 
This is a rematch of last year’s divisional game where the Patriots ended the season for the Chargers on their home field. Now San Diego is hoping for a result closer to the last time they visited New England – a 41-17 win in 2005. Tomlinson touched the ball 24 times and gained a pedestrian 76 yards last week, but he scored a rushing touchdown and passed for another to account for all the scoring against Chicago. The Patriots are embroiled in a videotaping controversy with allegations of cheating raining on them from just about every team they have beaten this decade. Will they be distracted? Brady can spray the ball to a lot of threats, and I like that against a good defense more than a team relying on one or two stars. Rivers has a new coaching staff and hasn’t yet adjusted yet. His offense stalls and they lose a good one on Sunday Night Football: New England 28, San Diego 24
 
Washington (1-0) @ Philadelphia (0-1): pick PHI -6.5/under 38.5
 
There are not a lot of marquee meetings this week so this is what we get on Monday Night. The Redskins can really put the preseason favorite Eagles in a hole with a win here. Philly was mistake prone in lackluster while losing at Green Bay. Westbrook was solid with 131 total yards, but the rest of the offense was flat. McNabb isn’t his usual self, but back at home he should be able to ride the defense to victory. Washington had no passing game with 54 of Campbells’s 222 yards coming on a Hail Mary at the end of regulation. The Eagles will stifle them: Philadelphia 19, Washington 9
 
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