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Odds to win Super Bowl XL in 2006

SportI have compiled the odds from a few sources and will give some analysis. New England (5.17 average - high 3.5, low 7): This is no surprise but you're betting on history being made. No team has ever won three in a row or four out of five. The Steelers did win four of six and the Cowboys probably could have won four in a row with a little luck in the early 90's. It's not great odds when you consider how tough it is to repeat once.

Philadelphia (5.33 average - 4 low, 7 high): Another not very surprising number considering their four straight trips to the NFC title game and last year's narrow loss in the big game. They clearly have the tools to win it all and in my book should be the biggest favorite.

Indianapolis (5.83 average - 4 low, 8 high): It is really just a matter of them getting home field to derail the Pats, which is why they are right there with last year's Super Bowl teams. It could be their last chance to get the ring with James on board, which could create some urgency.

Pittsburgh (12.11 average - 8 low, 16 high): They overachieved last year and there are many good AFC teams nipping at their heels which makes this very poor odds for them.

Atlanta (14.33 average - 10 low, 18 high): As probably the obvious choice to be the second best team in the NFC this aren't bad odds. Should the Eagles have problems they are a very good bet to reach the big game.

Baltimore (16.44 average - 12 low, 23 high): Upgrading at receiver and adding help to the already good defense opened the eyes of odds makers big time. Unfortunately, it took away a possible sleeper bet. With Pittsburgh to contend with in the division these aren't great odds.

Minnesota (16.89 average - 12 low, 22 high): If there is a team everyone is high on to rise to the top of a weak NFC this is it. The defense has a lot of new parts while the offense lost their most explosive player, but overall they are a much better team than the one that made the final 8 in 2004.

Carolina (17.11 average - 15 low, 18 high): I guess there are a few things at play here. They are a season separated from being a stupid coach's decision away from OT in the Super Bowl, finished last year very strong and now have some parts back from injury. They also have a couple good teams in their division and this is too high for them.

NY Jets (20.11 average - 15 low, 26 high): I will say right now that this would be my first bet. The odds are good and even with a possible wild card route I believe they have a shot. The defense is solid and the return of Coles plus Jolley should get the passing game back track. Nice sleeper bet.

San Diego (21.33 average - 12 low, 35 high): This is fool's money. The division is too stacked and everything went right last year yet they were ousted on their home field in the opening round.

Kansas City (21.44 average - 17 low, 29 high): Apparently someone is listening when Vermeil says this is the best team he has had in KC. The offense can roll and the defense has new parts, but I question what the team will be if Holmes isn't himself and if Green gets hurt they are finished.

Green Bay (25.89 average - 12 low, 45 high): Another dumb bet. They are a mess with holdouts and Favre's threat of retirement. The talent has gotten worse, not better and they could be the third best team in the division when it is all over.

Jacksonville (27.22 average - 17 low, 40 high): Every year the "experts" fall in love with a team and this is the media darling this season. Stuck behind the Colts and with Taylor's status in limbo I'm not buying it. In fact, this is a few slots too high for them.

Denver (28.78 average - 15 low, 40 high): It is tough to say when they will suddenly push their way up from the bottom of the playoff heap to the top or simply slide down. The division is rugged and that makes them a team to probably avoid.

Dallas (29.00 average - 20 low, 41 high): If they weren't in the East this would be a good bet. As a hopeful wild card it is tough to justify these odds even with the division vastly improved and the offense better than people think.

Buffalo (29.11 average - 15 low, 45 high): This is another team the media dummies like. Even if teams have had success with first year starters (Brady, Big Ben) I get a bad vibe about Losman. It is probably because he got hurt last season, a horrible omen in my book. They are the third best team in their division and it won't be close.

Seattle (31.11 average - 22 low, 45 high): Even in a terrible division I don't like their chances. Many think Arizona will give them problems and I believe St. Louis is going to take them out. Holmgren doesn't have Favre to bail him out this time.

St. Louis (33.33 average - 20 low, 45 high): If you want to get good odds on a team likely to make the playoffs as the champ of a weak division this is the team. The better news is that I foresee two other dome teams winning divisions so Philly looms as the only threat to them playing outdoors in the playoffs. It's a big threat, but these are good odds all things considered.

Oakland (35.22 average - 16 low, 80 high): They got better in a lot of ways with big time players Moss and Jordan added to an offense that wasn't bad in the first place. The defense got some attention and their biggest issue is contending in a tough division while trying to gain a decent playoff seed. With the best odds in the division though you are getting a better value with them.

Washington (37.33 average - 30 low, 51 high): This franchise is clueless and I wouldn't take 100-1 odds for them to make the playoffs much less these to win it all. They can't decide on a quarterback and their stout defense has off the field issues with a couple of their best players plus some moved on.

Cincinnati (40.11 average - 30 low, 51 high): The Bungles are happy just to be out of the bottom five, but even with the talent to challenge for a wild card it isn't wise to count on them making a run behind Pittsburgh and Baltimore.

Tampa Bay (46.33 average - 30 low, 75 high): The shine of their Super Bowl ring has worn off big time, but their division is somewhat up for grabs if it turns out that Atlanta isn't as good as they represented last year. With Cadillac among several key offensive players added to the mix they make an intriguing bet at these odds.

Detroit (48.00 average - 40 low, 67 high): Last year I liked them at the highest odds and now the upside is still a strong return, but I don't like them to win the division. The depth at quarterback and receiver really helps their prospects, but the defense isn't good enough.

New Orleans (52.33 average - 35 low, 70 high): You know I'm always enticed by their offensive talent and in their division this year is no different. I could see them winning the division and like the Rams it would be a playoffs where other than Philadelphia dome teams dominate. One of the better bets from the bottom half to be sure.

Arizona (53.44 average - 50 low, 60 high): Those who have them taking the West are just trying to make a name by betting the long shot. It's not going to come in because the defense isn't up to par and they have no proven quarterback to utilize their weapons. Warner's best days are long gone and McCown is erratic making them a struggle just to reach .500 much less take the Lombardi.

NY Giants (55.22 average - 50 low, 70 high): Not even if Peyton was traded for his brother would I bet on them. The future might be somewhat promising, but the present is not.

Chicago (63.00 average - 40 low, 101 high): I think they have a good future once Green Bay fades out, but for now I can't see them getting out of the division cellar.

Houston (63.89 average - 48 low, 80 high): It surprises me to see them this low, but I suppose it is the product of having Jacksonville and Indy ahead of them. Guess what? I think they are the second best team in the division and while this still isn't a good bet they are disrespected by these odds.

Tennessee (71.33 average - 35 low, 125 high): If these were the odds of them finishing anywhere but last I wouldn't take the bet. They are counting on a flood of rookies to contribute.

Miami (80.11 average - 60 low, 100 high): Not even the old Ricky Williams would make them smart money in their division although it probably is an intriguing play for a lot of people.

Cleveland (116.78 average - 80 low, 201 high): If there were odds on them getting the top pick in the draft it would probably be 3-2. They are flat out terrible after wasting their first round draft pick in the last 100 drafts, or so it seems.

San Francisco (186.78 average - 150 low, 201 high): Surprisingly I would risk $10 on this long shot because the division is terrible and their offensive line has really improved.
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