This post is about predictions, not about politics. †Please, don't post about policies or your political preferences. †But go crazy with your predictions.
Pundits have varying predictions for the election, with everyone giving Trump a post-convention bump:
- Nate Silver says Clinton has a 58.7% chance of winning.
- Sam Wang says Clinton is going to win:†Clinton 312 EV,†Trump 226 EV
- RCP says Clinton will win by a margin of > 2.7%
- But both Michael Moore and Scott Adams believe Trump will win
If I had to guess, today, I would guess Clinton wins, 312 to 226 EV. †In fact, unless Trump manages to win 2 out of 3 of OH, PA, FL, I don't think he has any chance of winning.
So what do you think will happen?