Subtlety is not one of my strengths

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Tuesday, September 02 2014

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NFL Predictions 2013: Super Bowl XLVIII

Sport

I guess I can call the playoffs a success now. I got both winners (9-1 for the playoffs) and went 2-0 against the spread (8-2 for the playoffs) but I missed the AFC total so 1-1 on the over/under (7-3 for the playoffs) leaves me 15-5 against Vegas. Including my -8 regular season, somehow I have managed to guarantee a non-losing season overall. I’m still not sure how, but I’ll take it.

By the way I’m in eight place picking winners with a chance to move up a couple slots if I get the big one right.

 

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NFL Predictions 2013: Championship Games

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Hey, I finally had a decent week. I was 4-0 straight up (7-1 for the playoffs)  and while it doesn’t seem that great, I’m tied with 10 other humans for the best mark during the tournament so that’s good. At least four out of the group differ from the picks I expect to make, but I doubt I will win outright because there just aren’t enough games. Tying for the lead would be great.

 

I was 3-1 against the spread (6-2 for the playoffs) and should have been perfect if not for Eric Decker’s many shenanigans. Seriously, did he take the points? First the “turf monster” tackles him then he has a ball bounce off his chest for an interception in the end zone and finally he lunges unnecessarily for an onside kick only to allow possession to be lost. At least I was a perfect 4-0 on the over/under (6-2 in the playoffs) so there’s that. I won’t be able to top my 19-3 all-time record though and that’s a bummer.

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NFL Predictions 2013: Divisional Round

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Well, I guess for a change I can’t complain much. I was 3-1 straight up in the opening round and also managed to go 3-1 against the spread. Of course, I stumbled at 2-2 on the over/under so that’s a bummer. My was first regret was not taking at least the points with the Chargers because, as I pointed out, they played so many good teams yet still managed a winning record to make the tournament. My other regret is not going over in the Colts/Chiefs, which of course now seems totally obvious, but the game was indoors and the pass rush not getting to Andrew Luck should have led me to bump their points way higher than the 22 I called for. Plus, the Chiefs had nothing to lose and were going to pull out all the stops as they did by throwing deep, as Michael Irvin hilariously insisted prior to kickoff that they would not do because they hadn’t done it all season.

 

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NFL Predictions 2013: Wild Card

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So it ends with a thud. I’m reaching for good news. I suppose the best I can come up with it picking 155 winners before the season started when I made a selection for every game. Heck, 61% isn’t all that bad without seeing any team in regular season action. I also went 13-3 straight up last week, which is odd for a final week and it left me 168-87-1 overall or two picks short of my annual goal. It’s frustrating. John Halpin of FOX won the media title with 177 winners and I tied for 14th discounting the computer pickers. I was 7-9 against the spread, finishing a dismal 118-132-5 overall. I did manage to go 9-7 on the over/under, winding up 130-124-4 overall there but in total I was -8 against Vegas for the season, so I lost.

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NFL Predictions 2013: Week 17

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When will the pain end? I suppose I can focus on the positive, finishing 11-5 straight up (155-84-1 overall) putting me tenth on the media leaderboard (eliminating the two computers). However, I made up no ground by going 8-8 against the spread (111-123-5 overall) and 8-8 on the over/under (121-117-4 overall) meaning at -8 it’s going to take a whale of a week for me to beat Vegas in the regular season. I will also need to be almost perfect to reach my annual goal of picking 170 winners. All of this in the toughest week of the season to predict no less, so wish me luck.

 

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NFL Predictions 2013: Week 16

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I slipped deeper into the abyss last week, too far to come back unfortunately. My straight up mark was 8-8 (144-79-1 overall) and while that isn’t terrible, picking winners isn’t all that hard. I was only 8-7-1 against the spread and with a lot of ground to make up that’s not good enough (103-115-5 overall). Worse yet I was an awful 6-10 on the over/under (113-109-4 overall). I don’t bet on games, and yet I feel as though I have “given away” everything I “won”. It’s not a good feeling. All I can hold onto now is hoping for a miracle final two weeks straight up, where I’m at 20th against the media mob. The leader is Fox’s John Halpin (152).

 

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NFL predictions 2013: Week 15

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I have to say, after a showing like last week I wonder if this might be my final year. It was rough. I’m just not used to missing this much. Sure, I went 13-3 straight up (136-71-1 overall) and that moves me to the 15 spot (13 if I eliminate the computers) for the media pickers. I don’t care. I was 8-8 against the spread (95-108-4 overall) and a miserable 5-10-1 on the over/under (107-99-4 overall) meaning Vegas is beating me on the season. Losing isn’t fun, and I’m running out of time to win.

 

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NFL Predictions 2013: Week 14

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In a couple paragraphs I will outline how my seemingly horrific (vs. Vegas) week wasn’t so much a matter of bad picks as it was coming close without the results. More on that later, but first let’s look at the results. I was 12-4 straight up (123-68-1 overall) and stand in the 20 spot on the big board of media pickers. The high mark is 131 shared by two humans. The computers are 129 and 127.

 

Against the spread I went 6-9-1 (87-100-4 overall) and things are getting desperate. Then again I did have a 19-3 playoff season against Vegas a couple years back so there’s that to look forward to possibly happening again. I was 5-10-1 on the over/under (102-89-3 overall) and all of this means I’m dead even, which sucks.

 

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NFL predictions 2013: Week 13

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One of these days I might break through. One of these days was not last week, so I’m talking about another quite average performance. Thanks to some upsets I was 7-6-1 straight up (111-64-1 overall) and out of the misses I have to say I’m most disappointed with Detroit (turnovers) Raiders (field goal misses) and Giants (slow start). Calling the big New England win saved me from a losing week without the points and that’s painful.

 

I’m in the No. 26 spot overall now, with Fox’s John Halpin (120) the new leader just ahead of NFL Network’s Gregg Rosenthal (119). They each got 10 last week to make up serious ground.

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