Subtlety is not one of my strengths

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Saturday, October 25 2014

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 8

Sport

Generally speaking I do not like to look back upon previous weeks. Sometimes I do, just to see where I went wrong and why it happened. Picking winners, I went 10-5 last week (66-39-1 overall) while this is not a terrible record I am used to being much better. I had an inclination Jacksonville might straight up beat Cleveland, but it is hard to go with a team that is 0-5. Seattle losing to St. Louis was a fluke. This is what happens when a team with "nothing to lose" goes all-out against the defending champs. I had the Seahawks 27-20, and if not for a wild "trick" return touchdown they win 26-21. No regrets on my part. 

I knew New Orleans and Detroit would be tight. I called it 24-23. It was, but I called it for the Saints who choked away a lead. No big deal. Divisional games are normally close, and I had San Diego over Kansas City 27-20. It was tied at 20, but unfortunately for my pick the Chiefs got the final score to win it 23-20. I lose no sleep over that one. Overall then, I feel good about week 7 when it comes to winners and losers. Against the spread, went 7-8 (58-48 overall) and first off I should have taken the points with Miami. That was dumb. I thought grabbing the points with Carolina was smart given the high spread, but it obviously was a misstep. The same goes for hoping San Francisco, a talented yet banged up team, would cover a big number. It happens. On the over/under I went 10-5 (60-45-1 overall) and there is nothing wrong with that. In total, I now stand +25 against Vegas.

 
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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 7

Sport

It was a decent week for me across the board. I was 10-4-1 straight up (56-34-1 overall) and would like to kick Mike Nugent in the nuts for turning a win into a tie. Amount of sleep I will lose over not choosing Cleveland over Pittsburgh when Big Ben was 18-1 against them? None. The same goes for not picking against Matt Ryan's Falcons at home, or the Lions outdoors, or the Cowboys in the most difficult venue in the NFL. Others might have had a better week taking some chances. I went with the most likely result and that usually works out just fine for me.

Against the spread I won the week at 10-5 (51-40 overall) losing on some of the aforementioned situations (Pittsburgh, Minnesota, Seattle). I took the points for Chicago and Carolina, without hesitation so those worked out. I did not believe Oakland could cover against San Diego given the state of their defense, but they surprised me just a little in losing by 3 instead of a touchdown. I had a frustrating loss when Tennessee had the cover at 16-7 until melting down at the end against winless Jacksonville. For the over/under I was 8-6-1 (50-40-1 overall) so that's fine, especially with a nice "over" on MNF thanks to the late interception return. Trust me, those kinds of things rarely happen for me. In all I am now +21 against Vegas and waiting for the roof to cave in on me. I will do my best to avoid that happening this week.

 
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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 6

Sport

Things have turned around for me quite about after the typically dead opening two weeks of the season. I reeled off a 13-2 mark straight up (46-30 overall) missing on two teams (Chicago, Detroit) who blew leads. One day I will pick all the winners in a given week. Until then, I march on. Against the spread I put some distance with breaking even by going 11-4 (41-35 overall) and rebounded from a losing week on the over/under with a 9-6 showing (42-34 overall). At +17 versus Vegas I am on red alert for an upside down week. 

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 5

Sport

Just when I thought I had a grip on this wild season, last week happened. It was definitely a streaky performance, starting with an ugly pick on TNF. The Giants crushed the Redskins and, like most people, I did not see it coming. Injuries played a part, and on a short week it turned into an avalanche. The early games on Sunday I dominated, picking six out of seven winners, and five out of seven against the spread. Then the straight up results went out the window as I missed three of four afternoon outcomes and both SNF and MNF. Fortunately, I was four out of five against the spread in those contests, so there was that.

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NFL predictions 2014: Week 4

Sport

Well, it is nice to see success again. It had been a while. Funny how TNF can often dictate how a week is going to be. Even though I was off on the margin of victory, I still had a sweep with Atlanta over Tampa Bay (straight up, spread, over/under). The momentum was carried through to the early games on Sunday when my only straight up miss over the week’s first 11 games was Cleveland, who I had winning 20-19, losing 23-21. My only loss against the spread during that stretch was Philadelphia allowing Washington to cover the points.

In all, thanks to primetime struggles, I finished 11-5 picking winners (26-22 overall) and 11-5 against the spread (21-27 overall) where I still have some work to do. I was on the plus side on the over/under at 9-7 (29-19 overall) so against Vegas I am +4 on the season. Again, the only winners when you gamble are the people taking the bets. They get 10%. Remember this.

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Exploring Gender Expectations in Pop Music

Entertainment

You've heard Ugly Heart, by now:

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All about that creaky voice?

Entertainment

I remember when I first heard about the raging epidemic of a trend, "vocal fry".

I had a little trouble identifying examples of it.

But is that what Meghan Trainor is doing in "All About That Bass", on the word "bass", in the chorus?

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NFL predictions 2014: Week 3

Sport

The worst is behind me, thankfully. After two ridiculous weeks of NFL results I can finally settle in. Last week I was an abysmal 6-10 straight up (15-17 overall) and I honestly can never recall missing that many winners. I also went 6-10 against the spread (10-22 overall) but Las Vegas does not have a stranglehold on me because I was once again 10-6 on the over/under (20-12 overall). So there's that.

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 2

Sport

Well that my friends, was no good. The opening couple of weeks is always the toughest to predict because there is so much roster turnover. Typically there are a handful of stunners, and by comparison last week was pretty tame. I did a decent job straight up (9-7) actually. Cincinnati/Baltimore was going to be a tossup and I went with the home team. New Orleans had Atlanta by 13 before they allowed the Falcons to steal a crucial field goal before the half, points that later allowed them to reach OT and pull out the win. The biggest surprise for me was actually Buffalo going to Chicago and winning, and of course that was also in OT. 

I was also surprised Tennessee was able to win so handily in Kansas City, and likewise for Minnesota in St. Louis. I knew New England had a chance to struggle in Florida, but Miami really took it to them in the second half. Of course, I screwed up both home field advantage situations in the Sunshine State because Tampa Bay choked against Carolina. When it came to the point spread I really had a tough time (4-12). There were a lot of close losses and heartbreakers of course, and now I have a nice hole to dig out of. At least I took it home on the over/under (10-6) to save face. Now I turn the page and learn from my mistakes.

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NFL Predictions 2014: Week 1

Sport

Another football season is here already? Well, here I go again then, trying to make sense of the nonsense and predict the unpredictable. 

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